| The α-Signal
In February 2006, I began some cutting-edge research in which I set out to forecast the rise and fall of specific stocks and commodities. I almost ignored my intial results, since they very strongly contradicted my own beliefs. However, the results of that first test were so clear and so outstanding that I simply could not afford to ignore them. And so, what I call Project: Alpha went forward with great excitement. At the end of my 6-month test-run, my Alpha Signal was accurate over 80% of the time. The Alpha Signal had correctly predicted both rises and falls in a wide array of investments, including: individual stocks, indices and commodities. In addition, The Alpha Signal helped me to forecast the general degree to which each stock would rise or falll! And it was able to forecast this for both short (3-4 months) and longer-term (one year) periods. (Now I use this process to look at stocks on a daily and weekly basis, such as when I post gold or silver forecasts on Twitter.)
When I began to combine complementary forecasting approaches that are more traditional (such as contrarianism, technical analysis, insider buying), I found we were able to generate an even more accurate forecast for stocks or commodities.
All the best,
The Hedgehog Trader PS. I consider my methodology part art and part 'science' and the details of which remains secret. But the results speak for themselves. |
